Fall Injury Mortality Prediction

This retrospective, multicenter, registry-based cohort study used data from the Pan-Asian Trauma Outcomes Study registry between January 2016 and December 2024. Adult patients with fall-related trauma were included if they had available data on age, sex, emergency department vital signs, and 30-day mortality. The final cohort was randomly divided into derivation and validation cohorts in a 2:1 ratio. Candidate predictors were selected based on clinical relevance, field triage criteria, prior trauma literature, and early availability. Multivariable logistic regression was used to develop the model, and regression coefficients were converted into an integer-based score. Model performance was assessed using discrimination, calibration, Brier score, and threshold-based metrics.

NCT Number	NCT07643051
Lead Sponsor	Mackay Memorial Hospital Collaborators: National Taiwan University Hospital, Yun-Lin Branch, Taipei Medical University
Conditions	Trauma Injury, Mortality Prediction, Fall
Enrollment	58,353 participants
Start Date	2016-01-01
Primary Completion	2024-12-31 (estimated)
Study Completion	2024-12-31 (estimated)
Updated on ClinicalTrials.gov	2026-06-11