Identifying the Limits of Survivability in Heat-exposed Older Females

Climate change increases extreme heat events, elevating global heat-illness risk. Females have reduced heat loss capacity (\~5%) compared to males, driven by differences in skin blood flow and sweating responses. While findings on sex-mediated mortality are mixed, some studies suggest older females (≥65 years), face higher heat-related mortality/morbidity risks, evidenced by disproportionate female deaths in the 2021 Western Heat Dome. The effects of extreme uncompensable heat on older females remain understudied. Heat exposure initially causes net heat gain, raising core/skin temperatures and triggering heat-loss responses. Under compensable heat stress, heat loss balances gain, stabilizing core temperature. Uncompensable heat stress (exceeding maximal dissipation capacity) causes continuous core temperature rise, posing severe health risks. The specific temperature and relative humidity (RH) limits where compensability is lost are critical survival determinants, influenced by age and sex. Ramping protocols identify these limits: participants face progressively increasing heat stress (e.g., staged humidity rises) while core temperature is monitored. Core temperature typically stabilizes initially, then exhibits an abrupt rapid increase at an inflection point, operationally defined as the limit of compensability. Despite increasing use, ramping protocol validity for accurately identifying this threshold remains unverified. This project assesses ramping protocol validity for determining uncompensable conditions in older females and evaluates cumulative thermal and cardiovascular strain, as well as psychological and cognitive responses to both uncompensable and compensable heat. Participants will complete five trials. Trial 1 (Ramping): Rest at 42°C, 28% RH for 70min, then incremental RH increases (3% every 10min) to 70% RH. Individual core temperature (rectal) inflection points are identified from the ramping trial. Trials 2-5 (Fixed Conditions, Randomized): i) \~10% below inflection; ii) \~5% below inflection; iii) \~5% above inflection; iv) Thermo-neutral control (26°C, 45% RH). Comparing the rate of rectal temperature change and cumulative strain during prolonged fixed exposures (especially below vs. above inflection) will validate if the ramping inflection point represents the true limit of compensability for older females.

NCT Number	NCT07032493
Lead Sponsor	University of Ottawa
Conditions	Heat Stress, Temperature Change, Body, Aging, Thermoregulation, Heat Exposure
Enrollment	12 participants
Start Date	2025-07-16
Primary Completion	2026-05-01 (estimated)
Study Completion	2026-05-01 (estimated)
Updated on ClinicalTrials.gov	2026-06-11