Studies of Human Inference Using On-line Testing

The investigators will record behavioral responses from human participants on crowdsourcing platform Prolific to identify the decision strategies humans apply short-term, long-term, and multi timescale (across both timescales) inference tasks. Participants will perform a flexible decision-making task (described in Research Strategy Aim 1) in which subjects must determine which of two locations a series of evidence (package drops) came from. Subjects must 1) report the current location, 2) predict the next location. The investigators will record these responses, the number (and sequence) of evidence, and the response time (time from the end of trial until the response) for each trial. Subjects will perform all blocks (parameters and number of blocks to be determined by inference model development and testing prior to task development) so that we can compare responses at each timescale. Since participants participate voluntarily for small sums of money (around $12/ hour based on duration of task) and the investigators' previous studies have collected over 200 subjects in a matter of days, they will aim to record behavioral data from 1000 subjects. This number allows them to address the broad range of subject variability expected using Bayesian statistical methods such as Bayes factors.

NCT Number	NCT05848752
Lead Sponsor	University of Colorado, Boulder Collaborators: University of Pennsylvania
Conditions	Behavior
Enrollment	500 participants
Start Date	2025-02-15
Primary Completion	2026-08-01 (estimated)
Study Completion	2028-06-30 (estimated)
Updated on ClinicalTrials.gov	2026-05-18